[T01]

Basic statistics

T01. Basic concepts
T02. The rules of probability
T03. The game show puzzle
T04. Expected values
T05. Probability and utility
T06. Cooperation
T07. Summarizing data
T08. Samples and biases
T09. Sampling error
T10. Hypothesis testing
T11. Correlation
T12. Simpson's paradox
T13. The post hoc fallacy
T14. Controlled trials
T15. Bayesian confirmation

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The appetites will rule if the mind is vacant.

- Mary Wollstonecraft

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No this reasoning is fallacious. Remember that expected utility of an action involves the probability of the various outcomes as well as their utility.

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